Statistical Theory of Optimal Procrastination

M. Eluchans, G. L. Lancia, R. Azeredo da Silveira, and G. Pezzulo

Preprint 

Information-Constrained Coordination of Economic Behavior

G. Aridor, R. Azeredo da Silveira, and M. Woodford
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 172, 104985 (2025) 

Resource-Rational Account of Sequential Effects in Human Prediction 

A. Prat-Carrabin, F. Meyniel, and R. Azeredo da Silveira
eLife, 13, e81256 (2024)

Optimally Imprecise Memory and Biased Forecasts

R. Azeredo da Silveira, Y. Sung, and M. Woodford
American Economic Review, 114 (10), 3075–3118 (2024) 

Biases and Variability from Costly Bayesian Inference

A. Prat-Carrabin, F. Meyniel, M. Tsodyks, and R. Azeredo da Silveira
Entropy, 23 (603), e23050603 (2021) 

Human Inference in Changing Environments with Temporal Structure

A. Prat-Carrabin, R. C. Wilson, M. J. D. Cohen, and R. Azeredo da Silveira
Psychological Review, 128 (5), 879–912 (2021)

Noisy Memory and Over-Reaction to News

R. Azeredo da Silveira and M. Woodford
AEA Papers and Proceedings, 109, 557–561 (2019)